PICOR Connect | Trends in Commercial Real Estate

Let the Good Times Roll! Tucson Industrial in 2018, TREND Report

Posted on Wed, Jun 13, 2018

“Wow!  What a great time to be in Industrial real estate!” These are sentiments not heard in almost a decade.  During the depths of the doldrums, the Tucson commercial real estate market was marked by Foreclosures and REO sales, “blend and extend” lease negotiations, downsizing (or “rightsizing” as it was more positively termed) and a general sense of survival.

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Topics: Economy, Commercial real estate, Economic development, Investment property, Market trends, Lease rates, Warehouse, Transportation, Logistics, Manufacturing

The Importance of Bricks’n Mortar in the Digital Age: TREND Report

Posted on Fri, Mar 09, 2018

As each day goes by, it seems we are increasingly leaning on technology and digital media to connect, to communicate, and to learn about the world around us. On a daily basis, we are learning new ways to employ this exciting new technology to fulfill our needs and save time and money. One of our most fundamental needs, consumerism, is a large part of this digital revolution.

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Topics: Economy, Technology, E-Commerce, Market trends, Retail

The State of Tucson's Apartment Market: TREND Report

Posted on Mon, Sep 11, 2017

The Tucson apartment market has been driven by a multitude of factors. The first factor that is driving the apartment market is that higher paying jobs are entering the Tucson economy. Tucson’s job growth remained relatively stagnant the past five years with median household income in the metro area 15.5% below that of the U. S. Several recent, high-profile jobs announcements included hundreds of highly-skilled and highly-compensated positions. The second wave of employers contracting with and supporting these primary employers will broaden the opportunities at all levels. As reported by the MAP Dashboard project, Tucson’s MSA enjoys a lower cost of living than many of its peer cities in the West and was 3.0% below the nation, driven largely by rental rates (2015 data).

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Topics: Tucson, Commercial real estate, Investment property, Market trends, Apartments, Multifamily

Tucson Retail Rocks on...

Posted on Thu, Jul 27, 2017

Tucson's retail market continued its predictable growth with 20,397 square feet (sf) of positive net absorption this quarter. While the most recent quarter represented a slower quarterly pace of net absorption than we have seen recently, the ebbs and flows of net absorption in a market of our size are common and expected. 

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Topics: Tucson, Commercial real estate, Investment property, Market trends, Leasing, Retail

Tucson Office Vacancy Hits 7-Year Low

Posted on Wed, May 17, 2017

Year over year improvement in office market metrics continues, with a second consecutive quarter of overall market vacancy hovering at a seven-year low. Positive absorption of 31,000 square feet (SF) contributed to a 10.6% vacancy. Increased hiring by employers in engineering and financial services is expected to bring meaningful positive momentum for professional office absorption and eventual upward pressure on lease rates.

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Topics: Economy, Commercial real estate, Investment property, Market trends, Office, Medical office

Retail on a Roll: Tucson Market Beats On

Posted on Thu, May 11, 2017

As predicted, Tucson’s retail market saw a significant increase of 235,808 square feet (SF) positive net absorption. This improvement is almost six times more than the 40,993 SF absorbed in Q4 2016 and accompanied delivery of nine new buildings totaling 235,958 SF. In the past four quarters, a total of 621,286 SF of new retail space has been delivered, consistent with the observed increase in retail space demand and activity predicted in our most recent quarterly report.

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Topics: Economy, Commercial real estate, Investment property, Market trends, Retail

Tucson Industrial Market Posts Best Results since Mid-2008

Posted on Wed, May 03, 2017

Tucson’s industrial market continued forward progress in the first quarter of 2017. Net positive absorption of about 50,000 square feet (SF) improved the overall vacancy rate to 7.4%, Tucson’s lowest mark since Q3 2008. The submarket with both the lowest vacancy and the largest inventory at nearly 10 million SF, was Northwest Tucson, with a vacancy rate of 4.3%. 

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Topics: Industrial, Commercial real estate, Investment property, Absorption, Market trends, Warehouse

Tucson Restaurant News: Guest Post

Posted on Thu, Aug 11, 2016

The restaurant industry is a significant contributor to the national economy and its importance has been increasing over decades.  According to the National Restaurant Association (NRA), the restaurant industry contributes 4% of the national Gross Domestic Product.  The NRA also reports that the restaurant industry accounted for 25% of the total food dollar in 1955 and this increased to 47% of the national food dollar by 2016.  Restaurant industry growth in real dollars is charted in the table below.

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Topics: Tucson, Commercial real estate, Investment property, Market trends, Retail

Small but Mighty Ruled in the Tucson Industrial Market Q1

Posted on Tue, Apr 26, 2016

The Tucson industrial market reported the strongest small tenant activity in recent years, with small startups and smaller company expansions comprising the bulk of first quarter activity. A heart-beat was palpable for larger requirements in the 10,000 to 50,000 square foot (sf) range, though few leases were executed by quarter’s end. Autobahn Indoor Speedway signed the largest lease first quarter, following in the entertainment sector that has enjoyed growth in recent quarters. Slight negative absorption of 28,363 sf in the first quarter ticked overall market vacancy up to 9.6%, with direct vacancy (which excludes available sublease space) ending at 8.7%. Overall average asking rates remained steady, though rates were up about 5.0% year-over-year. Slight increases in effective rents were recorded in the Northwest submarket due to tighter supply.

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Topics: Tucson, Industrial, Commercial real estate, Investment property, Market trends, Warehouse, Leasing

Tucson Office Market Improves in Q1

Posted on Wed, Apr 20, 2016

Preliminary BLS data reported that Metro Tucson added 12,999 jobs year-over-year through February 2016, with total employment of 455,754 and an unemployment rate of 4.8%. These results demonstrate significant positive progress for the Tucson labor market. If preliminary figures hold, this level of employment would represent a record and the lowest rate of unemployment since April 2008.

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Topics: Tucson, Commercial real estate, Market trends, Vacancy, Lease rates, Office, Medical office