“Wow! What a great time to be in Industrial real estate!” These are sentiments not heard in almost a decade. During the depths of the doldrums, the Tucson commercial real estate market was marked by Foreclosures and REO sales, “blend and extend” lease negotiations, downsizing (or “rightsizing” as it was more positively termed) and a general sense of survival.Read More
PICOR Connect | Trends in Commercial Real Estate
Absorption of Tucson industrial space continued during the first quarter of 2018, with 57,423 square feet (sf) of positive net absorption for the quarter. This reduced the overall vacancy rate to 6.3% in the 42.9 million square foot (msf) inventory of industrial buildings.Read More
Tucson’s industrial market continued forward progress in the first quarter of 2017. Net positive absorption of about 50,000 square feet (SF) improved the overall vacancy rate to 7.4%, Tucson’s lowest mark since Q3 2008. The submarket with both the lowest vacancy and the largest inventory at nearly 10 million SF, was Northwest Tucson, with a vacancy rate of 4.3%.Read More
With accelerating improvement in vacancy from 9.2% to 7.8% year-over-year, Tucson’s industrial market reported the strongest annual gain since 2006 and the lowest vacancy mark since Q3 2008. With occupancy above 92% and no speculative space under construction, the market will experience upward movement in rents. Rent pressure has already occurred for spaces 5,000 square feet (SF) and under. Net absorption for 2016 nearly doubled that recorded in 2015 at nearly 1.5 million square feet (MSF). Absorption over the past twelve months exceeded all years since 2006’s high of 1.9 MSF.Read More
Positive momentum accelerated in the Tucson industrial market during the second quarter, with vacancy improving to 8.6% on positive net absorption of 252,815 square feet (SF). After peaking at 13.4% 3Q 2011, market-wide vacancy improved to its lowest post-recession level, not reporting a sub-9.0% rate since 2008. Many projects reached full occupancy, with multi-tenant inventory inconsistently available. Of note given its nearly two million SF footprint, the UA Tech Park saw activity bringing its vacancy down to 2.0%.Read More
We were recently invited to speak at the Southern Arizona CCIM 2016 Commercial Real Estate Forecast. This event focuses on all aspects of Commercial and Multi Family real estate in Tucson, Arizona and brings together market leaders to speak on the various commercial real estate disciplines. Various market specialists share their expertise and perspectives on the general health and advancement, or decline, of the commercial real estate sectors. For 2016, industrial can be referenced as being in a state of advancement, unlike the eight years preceding it.Read More
The Tucson industrial market reported the strongest small tenant activity in recent years, with small startups and smaller company expansions comprising the bulk of first quarter activity. A heart-beat was palpable for larger requirements in the 10,000 to 50,000 square foot (sf) range, though few leases were executed by quarter’s end. Autobahn Indoor Speedway signed the largest lease first quarter, following in the entertainment sector that has enjoyed growth in recent quarters. Slight negative absorption of 28,363 sf in the first quarter ticked overall market vacancy up to 9.6%, with direct vacancy (which excludes available sublease space) ending at 8.7%. Overall average asking rates remained steady, though rates were up about 5.0% year-over-year. Slight increases in effective rents were recorded in the Northwest submarket due to tighter supply.Read More
With 4,700 jobs gained over the first eleven months of 2015, Tucson's employment picture continued to under-perform relative to the state and nation, primarily due to fiscal drag. Tucson has recovered 74.0% of recessionary jobs lost, while Greater Phoenix has recovered 101.0%. Sector performance varied, with positive gains in professional and business services; leisure and hospitality, education and health care; financial activities; and information were largely offset by reductions in the other sectors, with the largest declines in state and local government.Read More
While not enjoying job recovery on pace with the national average, metro Tucson added 3,300 jobs year-over-year through August. Educational/Health Services and Professional/ Business Services accounted for 78.8% of the job growth, with unemployment improving significantly to 5.3% by September.
Pinch us... Tucson's industrial vacancy is nearing single digits and ended the year's midway point 1.6 percentage points healthier than a year earlier. Read more in our Q2 2015 Tucson Industrial MarketBeat.