PICOR Connect | Trends in Commercial Real Estate

Much of the analysis regarding the coronavirus impact — including ours at Cushman & Wakefield — has understandably been focused on the negative impact of the outbreak and downside scenarios. The situation is fluid, and there remain many unknowns. However, to inject a little bit of optimism and to help provide perspective, we offer five “glass half full” observations:

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Topics: Commercial real estate, Community, Investment property, Market trends

Like Forrest Gump and Jenny, or peas and carrots, commercial real estate and the economy enjoy a special relationship. Thus at Cushman & Wakefield | PICOR, we introduce our quarterly commercial real estate update with an economic backdrop to inform our perspective.

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Topics: Tucson, Industrial, Economy, Investment property, Absorption, Market trends, Vacancy, Office, Retail, Multifamily

The Tucson Metro Chamber wrote the legislative bill SB 1248: property taxes; valuation; property modifications, which was sponsored by Arizona State Senator Vince Leach. Governor Doug Ducey signed the bill on June 7, 2019.

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Topics: Tucson, Commercial real estate, Investment property, Finance

Tucson’s office market ended 2018 with an overall vacancy of 8.4%, reflecting consistency and stability in the market for three straight quarters. While higher in 2017, 2018’s positive net absorption of 146,000 square feet (sf) marked the fifth year in positive territory. On this solid platform with firm fundamentals, tightening inventory has created rent pressure in select niche markets. Average rates market-wide increased slightly over the year to $19.16 per square foot (psf), with class A rates ending the year at $23.82 psf. 

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Topics: Tucson, Commercial real estate, Investment property, Market trends, Leasing, Office, Medical office

A bipartisan measure tucked into the 2017 federal tax law is providing a significant opportunity for investors to reduce their capital gains taxes while spurring economic growth in designated areas of Arizona.

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Topics: Tucson, Economy, Economic development, Community, Investment property, Distressed assets, Finance

“Wow!  What a great time to be in Industrial real estate!” These are sentiments not heard in almost a decade.  During the depths of the doldrums, the Tucson commercial real estate market was marked by Foreclosures and REO sales, “blend and extend” lease negotiations, downsizing (or “rightsizing” as it was more positively termed) and a general sense of survival.

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Topics: Economy, Commercial real estate, Economic development, Investment property, Market trends, Lease rates, Warehouse, Transportation, Logistics, Manufacturing

Tucson retail vacancy improved dramatically in the first quarter of 2018, dropping from 6.0% to 5.6%. This may have led to an increase in average asking lease rates compared to last quarter. Rates averaged $15.05 per square foot (psf) versus $14.87 psf at year end 2017.

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Topics: Tucson, Economy, Commercial real estate, Investment property, Absorption, Vacancy, Lease rates, Leasing, Retail

Tucson’s retail market continued its robust growth with over 262,000 square feet (sf) of positive net absorption for this quarter, which exceeded the first and second quarter’s combined absorption of 256,205 sf.  Pent-up demand in the market spurred an increase in retail space under construction from 123,402 sf in Q2 to 149,218 sf this quarter. Vacancy ticked-down slightly from 6.4% to 6.2%.

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Topics: Economy, Commercial real estate, Investment property, Leasing, Retail

The industrial market in Tucson has largely arrived at an equilibrium in lease negotiations between landlords and tenants. Vacancy experienced a slight uptick in the past two consecutive quarters, but this is viewed as a natural ebb-and-flow as tenants move around our market, rather than an indication of concern.

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Topics: Tucson, Industrial, Commercial real estate, Investment property, Vacancy, Leasing, Manufacturing

The Tucson apartment market has been driven by a multitude of factors. The first factor that is driving the apartment market is that higher paying jobs are entering the Tucson economy. Tucson’s job growth remained relatively stagnant the past five years with median household income in the metro area 15.5% below that of the U. S. Several recent, high-profile jobs announcements included hundreds of highly-skilled and highly-compensated positions. The second wave of employers contracting with and supporting these primary employers will broaden the opportunities at all levels. As reported by the MAP Dashboard project, Tucson’s MSA enjoys a lower cost of living than many of its peer cities in the West and was 3.0% below the nation, driven largely by rental rates (2015 data).

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Topics: Tucson, Commercial real estate, Investment property, Market trends, Apartments, Multifamily