The Tucson industrial market remained strong at midyear, as evidenced by our primary metric: Vacancy rate. Once again, vacancy has ticked-down, this time to 5.1%. Echoing the comments last quarter, Tucson is experiencing a “plateau effect” in the industrial sector in that the dynamic run-up in absorption slowed as the market leveled off at a highly-occupied equilibrium.Read More
PICOR Connect | Trends in Commercial Real Estate
Smaller scale manufacturing operations (1,000-5,000 SF) seem to be opening up shop and gaining momentum faster than ever. Why is this happening? I think the cost of manufacturing machines has come down and because of the strong economy, entrepreneurs have the spirit and the capital to start a manufacturing operation or grow their business with existing cash or lines of credit. Also, the cost of distribution continues to become more competitive.
Positive momentum continued its five-year trend in 2018 in the Tucson industrial market, with vacancy improving to 5.7%, cut in half from its highest point in recent years. At year end, vacancy was lowest in the city center at 1.5% and highest in the Southwest/Airport area at 12.8%. Net absorption was 50.4% stronger than in 2017, and thanks to Amazon’s two projects, space under construction has quadrupled year over year. Significantly, Amazon is entering the market with an 850,000 square foot (sf) distribution center under construction in the southeast sector and a new 50,000 sf service center in the southwest.Read More
“Wow! What a great time to be in Industrial real estate!” These are sentiments not heard in almost a decade. During the depths of the doldrums, the Tucson commercial real estate market was marked by Foreclosures and REO sales, “blend and extend” lease negotiations, downsizing (or “rightsizing” as it was more positively termed) and a general sense of survival.Read More
Absorption of Tucson industrial space continued during the first quarter of 2018, with 57,423 square feet (sf) of positive net absorption for the quarter. This reduced the overall vacancy rate to 6.3% in the 42.9 million square foot (msf) inventory of industrial buildings.Read More
The industrial market in Tucson has largely arrived at an equilibrium in lease negotiations between landlords and tenants. Vacancy experienced a slight uptick in the past two consecutive quarters, but this is viewed as a natural ebb-and-flow as tenants move around our market, rather than an indication of concern.Read More
With accelerating improvement in vacancy from 9.2% to 7.8% year-over-year, Tucson’s industrial market reported the strongest annual gain since 2006 and the lowest vacancy mark since Q3 2008. With occupancy above 92% and no speculative space under construction, the market will experience upward movement in rents. Rent pressure has already occurred for spaces 5,000 square feet (SF) and under. Net absorption for 2016 nearly doubled that recorded in 2015 at nearly 1.5 million square feet (MSF). Absorption over the past twelve months exceeded all years since 2006’s high of 1.9 MSF.Read More
Last year proved to be a challenging year globally: the slowdown suffered by the China economy, falling of oil prices and the expectation of raising rates by the FED caused pressure on world markets. Mexico was not the exception.Read More
We were recently invited to speak at the Southern Arizona CCIM 2016 Commercial Real Estate Forecast. This event focuses on all aspects of Commercial and Multi Family real estate in Tucson, Arizona and brings together market leaders to speak on the various commercial real estate disciplines. Various market specialists share their expertise and perspectives on the general health and advancement, or decline, of the commercial real estate sectors. For 2016, industrial can be referenced as being in a state of advancement, unlike the eight years preceding it.Read More
The national economy picked up in demand following the extreme winter. While statewide job gains are expected to outpace the nation in 2014, post-recession job recovery locally has lagged, leaving job creation the most pressing demand driver. March unemployment in Tucson was 6.6%, which was under both the state’s rate of 7.3% and the U.S.